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Estonia · Meistriliiga

05 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

TAMMEKA vs HARJU JALGPALLIKOOL

Final 2:1

Tammeka won Last goal: Tammeka

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Daniil Rudenko — Harju Jalgpallikool
  2. ⚽ Pedro Manoel — Tammeka
  3. ⚽ Pavel Marin — Tammeka

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
42%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Tammeka
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 11% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 194 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 248 completed matches.

1X2 11% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 91 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 11% (Weak)
63 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
142 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
190 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
76 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
215 predictions

Match overview