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Estonia · Meistriliiga

10 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

HARJU JALGPALLIKOOL vs NARVA TRANS

Final 3:0

Harju Jalgpallikool won Last goal: Harju Jalgpallikool

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Hugo Palutaja — Harju Jalgpallikool
  2. ⚽ Nikita Baljabkin (own goal) — Harju Jalgpallikool

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Aleksander Filatov (straight red) — Narva Trans
  2. ⚽ Karel Eerme (penalty) — Harju Jalgpallikool

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Harju Jalgpallikool
90-minute result: Harju Jalgpallikool
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 195 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 249 completed matches.

1X2 58% (Good)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 94 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 58% (Good)
185 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
106 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
191 predictions
Total 2.5 32% (Weak)
117 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
172 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
216 predictions

Match overview