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Estonia · Meistriliiga

28 Jun 2026 16:00 UTC

FCI LEVADIA vs FLORA TALLINN

Final 1:2

Flora Tallinn won Last goal: Flora Tallinn

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Wendell — FCI Levadia

2nd half

  1. Sander Alamaa — Flora Tallinn
  2. Taaniel Usta — Flora Tallinn

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 12% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 59 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 188 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 242 completed matches.

1X2 12% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 91 past matches

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 12% (Weak)
59 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
138 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
185 predictions
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
113 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
167 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
209 predictions

Match overview