← Back to matches

Belarus · Premier League

04 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

NEMAN GRODNO vs ARSENAL DZERZHINSK

Final 0:1

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk won Last goal: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Valeri Gorbachik — Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Ilya Vasin (straight red) — Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
90-minute result: Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 59 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 264 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 322 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 78 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
214 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
183 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
242 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
157 predictions
Total 3.5 30% (Weak)
71 predictions
Total 4.5 3% (Weak)
33 predictions

Match overview