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Belarus · Premier League

04 Jul 2026 13:00 UTC

FK VITEBSK vs DNYAPRO MOGILEV

Final 1:0

FK Vitebsk won Last goal: FK Vitebsk

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kirill Rodionov — FK Vitebsk

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
FK Vitebsk
90-minute result: FK Vitebsk
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 31 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 264 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 322 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
214 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
139 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
242 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
165 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
251 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
289 predictions

Match overview