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Belarus · Premier League

03 Jul 2026 13:00 UTC

NAFTAN NOVOPOLOTSK vs DYNAMO BREST

Final 2:4

Dynamo Brest won Last goal: Dynamo Brest

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Dusan Bakic — Dynamo Brest
  2. ⚽ Vladislav Lozhkin — Dynamo Brest
  3. ⚽ Vladislav Lozhkin — Dynamo Brest
  4. ⚽ Kirill Adamovich — Naftan Novopolotsk
  5. ⚽ Ignat Pranovich — Naftan Novopolotsk

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Egor Kortsov (penalty) — Dynamo Brest
  2. 🟥 Nikita Kostomarov (straight red) — Naftan Novopolotsk

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Naftan Novopolotsk
90-minute result: Dynamo Brest
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 263 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 321 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 80 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
213 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
182 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
241 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
156 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
250 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
288 predictions

Match overview