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Norway · 1. Division

04 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

HOEDD vs STROEMSGODSET

Final 4:3

Hoedd won Last goal: Hoedd

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Manaf Rawufu — Hoedd
  2. Cameron Streete — Hoedd
  3. Kreshnik Krasniqi — Stroemsgodset
  4. Mats Spiten — Stroemsgodset
  5. Mirza Mulac — Hoedd

2nd half

  1. Victor Dedes — Stroemsgodset
  2. Isak Gabriel Skotheim (penalty) — Hoedd

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 63% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 280 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 336 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
267 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
137 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
273 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
201 predictions
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
207 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
255 predictions

Match overview