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Norway · 1. Division

04 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC

EGERSUND vs MOSS

Final 3:0

Egersund won Last goal: Egersund

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Oscar Forsmo Kapskarmo — Egersund
  2. Oscar Forsmo Kapskarmo — Egersund

2nd half

  1. Scott Vatne — Egersund

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
20%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
4:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 53% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 280 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 336 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 81 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
267 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
199 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
273 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
201 predictions
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
129 predictions
Total 4.5 32% (Weak)
81 predictions

Match overview