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Norway · 1. Division

03 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

RAUFOSS vs STROEMMEN

Final 1:0

Raufoss won Last goal: Raufoss

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Alexander Achinioti Jonsson — Raufoss

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
20%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
4:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 68 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 277 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 333 completed matches.

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 26% (Weak)
68 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
196 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
270 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
198 predictions
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
128 predictions
Total 4.5 33% (Weak)
80 predictions

Match overview