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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

28 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

KEFLAVIK vs KR REYKJAVIK

Final 3:2

Keflavik won Last goal: Keflavik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Arnór Ingvi Traustason — KR Reykjavik
  2. ⚽ Marin Mudrazija — Keflavik

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Marin Mudrazija — Keflavik
  2. ⚽ Eidur Saebjoernsson — KR Reykjavik
  3. ⚽ Alpha Conteh — Keflavik

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
KR Reykjavik
90-minute result: Keflavik
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
44%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 163 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 217 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
Total 4.5 44% (Weak)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
183 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
78 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
184 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
142 predictions
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
138 predictions
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
173 predictions

Match overview