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Iceland · 1. Deild

26 Jun 2026 19:15 UTC

AFTURELDING vs NJARDVIK

Final 2:0

Afturelding won Last goal: Afturelding

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Joacim Holtan — Afturelding
  2. ⚽ Birkir Sævarsson — Afturelding

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Njardvik
90-minute result: Afturelding
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 59% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 169 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 195 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 43 past matches

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
155 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
121 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
161 predictions
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
121 predictions
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
157 predictions

Match overview