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Sweden · 1. Division · Ettan Norra

28 Jun 2026 14:00 UTC

UMEAA vs FC JAERFAELLA

Final 1:3

FC Jaerfaella won Last goal: FC Jaerfaella

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Emil Drugge Stals — FC Jaerfaella
  2. ⚽ Robin Hadad (penalty) — Umeaa

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Abdulmannan Khalil — FC Jaerfaella
  2. ⚽ Aria Sabery — FC Jaerfaella

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Umeaa
90-minute result: FC Jaerfaella
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
5:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 86 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 532 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 671 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 25 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 36% (Weak)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
501 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
414 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
537 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
383 predictions
Total 3.5 37% (Weak)
229 predictions
Total 4.5 26% (Weak)
112 predictions

Match overview