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Sweden · 1. Division · Ettan Norra

27 Jun 2026 15:00 UTC

FC ARLANDA vs IF KARLSTAD

Final 1:0

FC Arlanda won Last goal: FC Arlanda

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Samuel Rydz (penalty) — FC Arlanda

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
IF Karlstad
90-minute result: FC Arlanda
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 98 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 524 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 663 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 81 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
495 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
406 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
529 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
375 predictions
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
440 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
555 predictions

Match overview