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Sweden · 1. Division · Ettan Soedra

27 Jun 2026 14:00 UTC

AFC MALMOE vs JOENKOEPINGS SOEDRA

Final 1:0

AFC Malmoe won Last goal: AFC Malmoe

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Anton Reuterskioeld — AFC Malmoe

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: AFC Malmoe
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
20%
Score
3:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 166 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 524 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 663 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 46 past matches

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 20% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
168 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
406 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
529 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
375 predictions
Total 3.5 37% (Weak)
223 predictions
Total 4.5 26% (Weak)
108 predictions

Match overview