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Ireland · Premier Division

27 Jun 2026 18:45 UTC

SLIGO ROVERS vs SHELBOURNE

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Shelbourne

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Maï Traoré — Sligo Rovers

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Daire Patton — Sligo Rovers
  2. ⚽ Ali Coote — Shelbourne
  3. ⚽ Paddy Barrett — Shelbourne

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Shelbourne
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 199 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 247 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 92 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
176 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
134 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
172 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
102 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
192 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
224 predictions

Match overview