← Back to matches

Ireland · Premier Division

22 Jun 2026 18:45 UTC

SHELBOURNE vs BOHEMIAN FC

Final 0:3

Bohemian FC won Last goal: Bohemian FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Harry Vaughan — Bohemian FC
  2. Colm Whelan — Bohemian FC

2nd half

  1. Ross Tierney — Bohemian FC
  2. 🟥 Seán Boyd (2nd yellow) — Shelbourne

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 193 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 161 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 32% (Weak)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
116 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
61 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
33 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
85 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
118 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
144 predictions

Match overview