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Ireland · Premier Division

22 Jun 2026 19:00 UTC

SHAMROCK ROVERS vs DERRY CITY

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Shamrock Rovers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Liam Boyce — Derry City

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Aaron Greene — Shamrock Rovers

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Shamrock Rovers
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 193 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 161 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 65% (Good)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
116 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
100 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
128 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
76 predictions
Total 3.5 12% (Weak)
43 predictions
Total 4.5 6% (Weak)
17 predictions

Match overview