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Finland · Veikkausliiga

27 Jun 2026 14:00 UTC

HJK vs KUPS

Final 0:4

KuPS won Last goal: KuPS

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Ville Tikkanen (straight red) — HJK
  2. ⚽ Petteri Pennanen — KuPS

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Petteri Pennanen — KuPS
  2. ⚽ Jaime Moreno — KuPS
  3. ⚽ Arttu Heinonen — KuPS

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
HJK
90-minute result: KuPS
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
23%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 198 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 249 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 86 past matches

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
172 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
147 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
192 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
123 predictions
Total 3.5 39% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 4.5 35% (Weak)
26 predictions

Match overview