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Finland · Veikkausliiga

23 Jun 2026 16:00 UTC

FF JARO vs IF GNISTAN

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: FF Jaro

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Saku Ylaetupa — IF Gnistan

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Rudi Vikstroem — FF Jaro

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
IF Gnistan
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 46 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 192 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 158 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
106 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
48 predictions
Total 1.5 35% (Weak)
23 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
65 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
112 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
139 predictions

Match overview