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Ireland · First Division

26 Jun 2026 18:45 UTC

KERRY FC vs LONGFORD TOWN

Final 2:1

Kerry FC won Last goal: Kerry FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Cian Murphy — Kerry FC
  2. ⚽ Andy Paraschiv — Longford Town
  3. ⚽ Vincent Russell Borden — Kerry FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Kerry FC
90-minute result: Kerry FC
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 49 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 200 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 239 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 88 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
182 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
129 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
192 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
118 predictions
Total 3.5 31% (Weak)
58 predictions
Total 4.5 12% (Weak)
26 predictions

Match overview