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International · FIFA World Cup · World Cup Grp. A

25 Jun 2026 01:00 UTC

SOUTH AFRICA vs SOUTH KOREA

Final 1:0

Top match South Africa won Last goal: South Africa

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Thapelo Maseko · assist Tshepang Moremi — South Africa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
43%
1X2
South Korea
90-minute result: South Africa
No surprise
38%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
81%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
58%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
58%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Big miss
67%
Score
2:5

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 46 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 38 completed matches.

1X2 63% (Good)
Both teams to score 71% (Strong)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 26% (Strong)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 100% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 67% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 63% (Good)
30 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
21 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
27 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
25 predictions
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
35 predictions
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
36 predictions

Match overview