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Lithuania · A Lyga

12 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

ZALGIRIS VILNIUS vs RITERIAI

Final 3:2

Zalgiris Vilnius won Last goal: Riteriai

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Nikola Petkovic — Zalgiris Vilnius
  2. ⚽ Marko Karamarko (own goal) — Zalgiris Vilnius
  3. ⚽ Matas Vareika — Zalgiris Vilnius

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Deinmantas Rimpa — Riteriai
  2. ⚽ Marko Karamarko — Riteriai

Model predictions were

Solid call
45%
1X2
Zalgiris Vilnius
Result: Zalgiris Vilnius
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 188 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 161 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
113 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
75 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
125 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
64 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
136 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
154 predictions

Match overview

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