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Iceland · 1. Deild

05 Jun 2026 19:15 UTC

AEGIR vs LEIKNIR REYKJAVIK

Good signal

Model prediction

Weak
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Strong
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Good
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Good
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Good
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Good
12%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 68% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 22 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 152 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 113 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 25 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
89 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
84 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
104 predictions
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
85 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
66 predictions
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
91 predictions

Match preview