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31 May 2026 19:15 UTC

AFTURELDING vs FYLKIR

Final 5:1

Afturelding won Last goal: Fylkir

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Andi Hoti — Afturelding
⚽ Odinn Bjarkason — Afturelding
⚽ Joacim Holtan — Afturelding
⚽ Bart Kooistra — Afturelding

2nd half

⚽ Andi Hoti — Afturelding
⚽ Hlynur Saevar Jonsson — Fylkir

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Draw

Result: Afturelding

57%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

85%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

26%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over

65%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

75%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over

13%

Score

1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 18% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 22 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 146 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 107 completed matches.

1X2 18% (Weak)

Both teams to score 51% (Average)

Total 1.5 79% (Strong)

Total 2.5 60% (Good)

Total 3.5 55% (Good)

Total 4.5 62% (Good)

Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 23 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)

Both teams to score 35% (Weak)

Total 1.5 65% (Strong)

Total 2.5 48% (Average)

Total 3.5 61% (Good)

Total 4.5 61% (Good)

Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 18% (Weak)

22 predictions

Both teams to score 60% (Good)

80 predictions

Total 1.5 87% (Strong)

98 predictions

Total 2.5 27% (Weak)

26 predictions

Total 3.5 61% (Good)

62 predictions

Total 4.5 74% (Strong)

85 predictions

Match overview

Final result breakdown for Afturelding vs Fylkir. The match ended 5-1 in Iceland · 1. Deild. Pre-match projections pointed to Draw with a low-confidence projection at 36.8%.

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 61.7% of matches across a sample of 107 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 34.8% in a sample of 23 team involvements.

Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (85.2%) appeared as a strong signal and was correctly identified. Over 2.5 goals (25.5%) appeared as a marginal edge and fell short of the result.

Both teams to score (56.7%) held up in the final outcome. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

AFTURELDING vs FYLKIR

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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