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Japan · J- League · J. League 100 Year Vision League Placement Matches

06 Jun 2026 07:00 UTC

TOKYO VERDY vs GAMBA OSAKA

Final 2:4

Gamba Osaka won Last goal: Gamba Osaka

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Gaku Nawata — Gamba Osaka
  2. ⚽ Takeru Kishimoto (own goal) — Tokyo Verdy

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Shinya Nakano — Gamba Osaka
  2. ⚽ Ginjiro Ikegaya (own goal) — Tokyo Verdy
  3. ⚽ Gaku Nawata — Gamba Osaka
  4. ⚽ Shoji Toyama — Gamba Osaka

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Tokyo Verdy
90-minute result: Gamba Osaka
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 126 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 398 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 313 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
219 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
120 predictions
Total 1.5 28% (Weak)
69 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
160 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
237 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
279 predictions

Match overview