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Japan · J- League · J. League 100 Year Vision League Placement Matches

06 Jun 2026 06:00 UTC

MACHIDA ZELVIA vs NAGOYA GRAMPUS

Final 2:1

Machida Zelvia advanced Last goal: Machida Zelvia

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Tomoki Takamine (2nd yellow) — Nagoya Grampus

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Kensuke Nagai — Nagoya Grampus
  2. ⚽ Yuta Nakayama — Machida Zelvia
  3. ⚽ Hokuto Shimoda — Machida Zelvia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Nagoya Grampus
90-minute result: Draw
Advanced: Machida Zelvia
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 74 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 398 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 313 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
219 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
120 predictions
Total 1.5 28% (Weak)
69 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
160 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
237 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
279 predictions

Match overview