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Japan · J- League · J. League 100 Year Vision League Placement Matches

06 Jun 2026 05:00 UTC

FC TOKYO vs CEREZO OSAKA

Final 1:3

Cerezo Osaka won Last goal: FC Tokyo

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Shion Homma — Cerezo Osaka
  2. ⚽ Solomon Sakuragawa (penalty) — Cerezo Osaka
  3. ⚽ Solomon Sakuragawa — Cerezo Osaka

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ryunosuke Sato — FC Tokyo

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Cerezo Osaka
90-minute result: Cerezo Osaka
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 74 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 398 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 313 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
219 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
193 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
244 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
153 predictions
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
76 predictions
Total 4.5 24% (Weak)
34 predictions

Match overview