BURUNDI vs EQUATORIAL GUINEA
Model Context
Match prediction context
Probability in similar matches
31% (Weak)
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Draw likelihood
23% (Typical)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 323 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 253 completed matches.
1X2
48% (Average)
Both teams to score
47% (Average)
Total 1.5
57% (Good)
Total 2.5
47% (Average)
Total 3.5
59% (Good)
Total 4.5
77% (Strong)
Score
8% (Weak)
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 1 past matches
Small sample sizes may be less reliable.
1X2
0% (Weak)
Both teams to score
100% (Strong)
Total 1.5
100% (Strong)
Total 2.5
100% (Strong)
Total 3.5
100% (Strong)
Total 4.5
100% (Strong)
Score
0% (Risky)
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.
1X2
48% (Average)
193 predictions
Both teams to score
38% (Weak)
130 predictions
Total 1.5
67% (Strong)
199 predictions
Total 2.5
44% (Weak)
118 predictions
Total 3.5
68% (Strong)
198 predictions
Total 4.5
84% (Strong)
229 predictions