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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

04 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

SWEDEN vs GREECE

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Greece

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kostas Tsimikas — Greece

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Viktor Gyökeres — Sweden
  2. ⚽ Gustaf Nilsson — Sweden
  3. ⚽ Giorgos Masouras — Greece

Model predictions were

Off target
49%
1X2
Greece
Result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
24%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 323 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 253 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
193 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
123 predictions
Total 1.5 20% (Weak)
54 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
135 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
198 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
229 predictions

Match overview

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