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International · Int. Friendly · Friendlies

04 Jun 2026 19:00 UTC

SPAIN vs IRAQ

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Iraq

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ferran Torres — Spain
  2. ⚽ Merchas Doski — Iraq

Model predictions were

Off target
49%
1X2
Iraq
Result: Draw
Nice call
45%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
82%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
33%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 323 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 253 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 33% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
193 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
130 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
199 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
118 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
198 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
229 predictions

Match overview

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