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Sweden · 1. Division · Ettan Norra

04 Jun 2026 17:30 UTC

AFC ESKILSTUNA vs KARLBERGS BK

Final 3:2

AFC Eskilstuna won Last goal: AFC Eskilstuna

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Noah Negash — Karlbergs BK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lee Hanson — AFC Eskilstuna
  2. ⚽ Robin Bjoerkman — AFC Eskilstuna
  3. ⚽ Albin Flodkvist — AFC Eskilstuna
  4. ⚽ Omar Adam Jemal — Karlbergs BK

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
Result: AFC Eskilstuna
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 94 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 476 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 394 completed matches.

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
Total 4.5 48% (Average)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 20% (Weak)
94 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
262 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
331 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
151 predictions
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
253 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
327 predictions

Match overview

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