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Sweden · Cup

03 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

HOVSHAGA AIF vs VAEXJOE NORRA IF

Final 0:5

Vaexjoe Norra IF won Last goal: Vaexjoe Norra IF

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Hugo Boden — Vaexjoe Norra IF
  2. Hugo Boden — Vaexjoe Norra IF

2nd half

  1. Lucas Eliasson — Vaexjoe Norra IF
  2. Ellis Culum — Vaexjoe Norra IF
  3. Joel Friman — Vaexjoe Norra IF

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 116 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 90 completed matches.

1X2 60% (Good)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 60% (Good)
72 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
59 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
82 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
67 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
42 predictions
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
61 predictions

Match overview