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Sweden · Cup

03 Jun 2026 17:00 UTC

ERSBODA SK vs PITEAA

Final 2:3

Piteaa won Last goal: Piteaa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ — — Ersboda SK
  2. ⚽ — — Piteaa

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Alex Lindgren — Piteaa
  2. ⚽ — — Ersboda SK
  3. ⚽ Linus Lindgren — Piteaa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
56%
1X2
Ersboda SK
90-minute result: Piteaa
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 116 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 90 completed matches.

1X2 60% (Good)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 1 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 100% (Strong)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 60% (Good)
72 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
31 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
82 predictions
Total 2.5 30% (Weak)
23 predictions
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
42 predictions
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
61 predictions

Match overview