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Sweden · Cup

02 Jun 2026 17:15 UTC

VAESTKURD BK vs FC TROLLHAETTAN

Final 2:3

FC Trollhaettan won Last goal: FC Trollhaettan

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Destiny Eze — FC Trollhaettan
  2. ⚽ Alex Agwunobi — Vaestkurd BK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Abdisalam Farah — Vaestkurd BK
  2. ⚽ Tyler Sernling — FC Trollhaettan
  3. ⚽ Tyler Sernling — FC Trollhaettan
  4. 🟥 — (straight red) — Vaestkurd BK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Vaestkurd BK
90-minute result: FC Trollhaettan
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
20%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 17 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 113 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 87 completed matches.

1X2 61% (Good)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 61% (Good)
69 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
58 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
81 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
66 predictions
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
47 predictions
Total 4.5 32% (Weak)
28 predictions

Match overview