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Brazil · Cup Nordeste · Copa do Nordeste Final Stage

03 Jun 2026 00:00 UTC

FORTALEZA vs VITORIA

Final 1:2

Vitoria won Last goal: Vitoria

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Vitinho — Fortaleza
  2. 🟥 Ronald (straight red) — Fortaleza
  3. ⚽ Renato Kayzer (penalty) — Vitoria
  4. ⚽ Diego Tarzia — Vitoria

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Vitoria
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
19%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 25% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 57 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 50 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 16 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 19% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
13 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
26 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
37 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
27 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
38 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
45 predictions

Match overview