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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

31 May 2026 17:00 UTC

THOR AKUREYRI vs STJARNAN

Final 1:3

Stjarnan won Last goal: Stjarnan

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ágúst Hlynsson — Thor Akureyri

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Daníel Matthíasson — Stjarnan
  2. ⚽ Emil Atlason — Stjarnan
  3. 🟥 Christian Jakobsen (straight red) — Thor Akureyri
  4. ⚽ Haukur Brink — Stjarnan

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Stjarnan
90-minute result: Stjarnan
Solid call
66%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
45%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
59%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 148 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 126 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 29 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 38% (Weak)
Total 4.5 55% (Good)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
101 predictions
Both teams to score 73% (Strong)
86 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
114 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
85 predictions
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
77 predictions
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
104 predictions

Match overview