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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

22 May 2026 19:15 UTC

BREIDABLIK vs KR REYKJAVIK

Final 6:3

Breidablik won Last goal: KR Reykjavik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kristófer Kristinsson — Breidablik
  2. ⚽ Anton Lúdvíksson — Breidablik
  3. ⚽ Sigurdur Breki Karason — KR Reykjavik
  4. ⚽ Ágúst Thorsteinsson — Breidablik
  5. ⚽ Davíd Ingvarsson — Breidablik
  6. ⚽ Sigurdur Breki Karason — KR Reykjavik

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ivar Oern Arnason — Breidablik
  2. ⚽ Kristófer Kristinsson — Breidablik
  3. ⚽ Amin Cosic (penalty) — KR Reykjavik

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Favorite
37%
1X2
KR Reykjavik
90-minute result: Breidablik
Solid call
66%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
20%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 6:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 42 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 139 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 117 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 57% (Good)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
93 predictions
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
80 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
107 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
79 predictions
Total 3.5 36% (Weak)
45 predictions
Total 4.5 32% (Weak)
19 predictions

Match overview