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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

26 May 2026 19:15 UTC

KR REYKJAVIK vs VALUR

Final 3:1

KR Reykjavik won Last goal: KR Reykjavik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Arnór Ingvi Traustason — KR Reykjavik
  2. ⚽ Luke Rae — KR Reykjavik

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tryggvi Haraldsson (penalty) — Valur
  2. ⚽ Eidur Saebjoernsson — KR Reykjavik
  3. 🟥 Hólmar Eyjólfsson (2nd yellow) — Valur

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
KR Reykjavik
90-minute result: KR Reykjavik
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
59%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 24 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 144 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 122 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 51% (Average)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
97 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
38 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
111 predictions
Total 2.5 31% (Weak)
39 predictions
Total 3.5 45% (Weak)
74 predictions
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
101 predictions

Match overview