← Back to matches

Iceland · 1. Deild

27 May 2026 19:15 UTC

GRINDAVIK vs AFTURELDING

Final 1:3

Afturelding won Last goal: Afturelding

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Joacim Holtan — Afturelding
  2. ⚽ Aron Eli Saevarsson — Afturelding

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Rafael Victor — Grindavik
  2. ⚽ Odinn Bjarkason — Afturelding

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Grindavik
90-minute result: Afturelding
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
As expected
59%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
59%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 140 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 101 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 62% (Good)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 21 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 57% (Good)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
80 predictions
Both teams to score 28% (Weak)
25 predictions
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
8 predictions
Total 2.5 28% (Weak)
25 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
59 predictions
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
80 predictions

Match overview