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Iceland · 1. Deild

31 May 2026 14:00 UTC

VOELSUNGUR vs AEGIR

Final 2:3

Aegir won Last goal: Voelsungur

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Harley Willard — Aegir
  2. ⚽ Markus Mani Jonsson — Aegir

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jordan Adeyemo — Aegir
  2. ⚽ Steinthór Thórsteinsson — Voelsungur
  3. ⚽ Xabier Cardenas — Voelsungur

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Aegir
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 19% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 36 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 146 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 107 completed matches.

1X2 18% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 62% (Good)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 23 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 39% (Weak)
Total 4.5 52% (Average)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 18% (Weak)
22 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
80 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
98 predictions
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
81 predictions
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
45 predictions
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
85 predictions

Match overview