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Lithuania · A Lyga

30 May 2026 12:30 UTC

BANGA GARGZDAI vs FA SIAULIAI

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Banga Gargzdai

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Divine Naah — FA Siauliai

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ignas Venckus — Banga Gargzdai

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 68 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 185 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 158 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
47 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
84 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
122 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
62 predictions
Total 3.5 26% (Weak)
23 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
152 predictions

Match overview