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Lithuania · A Lyga

24 May 2026 15:00 UTC

DZIUGAS TELSIAI vs FK TRANSINVEST

Final 3:2

Dziugas Telsiai won Last goal: Dziugas Telsiai

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ibrahim Cisse (penalty) — Dziugas Telsiai
  2. ⚽ Yegor Glushach (penalty) — FK TransINVEST

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Stefan Milosevic — FK TransINVEST
  2. ⚽ Iker Scotto — Dziugas Telsiai
  3. ⚽ Denis Zevzikovas — Dziugas Telsiai

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Dziugas Telsiai
90-minute result: Dziugas Telsiai
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 36 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 180 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 153 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
107 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
71 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
118 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
94 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
132 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
148 predictions

Match overview