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Lithuania · A Lyga

30 May 2026 11:15 UTC

DZIUGAS TELSIAI vs FK PANEVEZYS

Final 4:0

Dziugas Telsiai won Last goal: Dziugas Telsiai

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Valentino Vermeulen — Dziugas Telsiai
  2. ⚽ Ronald Sobowale — Dziugas Telsiai

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Justinas Janusevskij (straight red) — FK Panevezys
  2. ⚽ Iker Scotto (penalty) — Dziugas Telsiai
  3. ⚽ Vilius Piliukaitis (penalty) — Dziugas Telsiai

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Dziugas Telsiai
90-minute result: Dziugas Telsiai
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 185 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 157 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
111 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
74 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
121 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
96 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
135 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
151 predictions

Match overview