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Egypt · Premier League · 1. Division

29 May 2026 17:00 UTC

GHAZL AL MAHALLA vs HARAS EL HODOUD

Final 4:2

Ghazl Al Mahalla won Last goal: Ghazl Al Mahalla

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mohamed Ashraf — Ghazl Al Mahalla
  2. ⚽ Mohamed Ashraf — Ghazl Al Mahalla
  3. ⚽ Amr Gamal — Haras El Hodoud

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ahmed Shousha (penalty) — Ghazl Al Mahalla
  2. ⚽ Ahmed Nayel — Haras El Hodoud
  3. 🟥 Islam Abou-Salima (straight red) — Haras El Hodoud
  4. ⚽ Yehia Zakaria — Ghazl Al Mahalla

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Ghazl Al Mahalla
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
13%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 125 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 38% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 320 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 310 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 61 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
97 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
192 predictions
Total 1.5 42% (Weak)
118 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
215 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
275 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
294 predictions

Match overview