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Egypt · Premier League · 1. Division

28 May 2026 14:00 UTC

ISMAILY SC vs PHARCO FC

Final 1:2

Pharco FC won Last goal: Ismaily SC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mohamed Fakhri — Pharco FC
  2. ⚽ Mohamed Fakhri — Pharco FC

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Moaz Ahmed (straight red) — Pharco FC
  2. ⚽ Hatem Sukar — Ismaily SC
  3. 🟥 Abdelkarim Mostafa (straight red) — Ismaily SC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Ismaily SC
90-minute result: Pharco FC
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 94 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 38% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 317 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 307 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 63 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
210 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
191 predictions
Total 1.5 42% (Weak)
117 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
214 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
273 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
292 predictions

Match overview