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Egypt · Premier League · 1. Division

28 May 2026 14:00 UTC

PETROJET vs EL GOUNA FC

Final 1:2

El Gouna FC won Last goal: El Gouna FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Gabriel Chukwudi — Petrojet

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Marwan Mohsen — El Gouna FC
  2. ⚽ Mohamed Emad — El Gouna FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Petrojet
90-minute result: El Gouna FC
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 94 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 38% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 317 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 307 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
210 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
116 predictions
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
190 predictions
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
93 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
273 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
292 predictions

Match overview