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South America · Copa Sudamericana · Copa Sudamericana Grp. G

27 May 2026 22:00 UTC

VASCO DA GAMA vs BARRACAS CENTRAL

Final 3:0

Vasco da Gama won Last goal: Vasco da Gama

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Adson — Vasco da Gama
  2. 🟥 Rodrigo Insúa (straight red) — Barracas Central
  3. ⚽ Adson — Vasco da Gama

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Johan Rojas — Vasco da Gama

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Vasco da Gama
90-minute result: Vasco da Gama
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 55 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 112 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 109 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 25% (Weak)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
75 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
59 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
37 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
65 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
92 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
103 predictions

Match overview