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South America · Copa Sudamericana · Copa Sudamericana Grp. D

27 May 2026 00:30 UTC

SAN LORENZO vs RECOLETA

Final 0:1

Recoleta won Last goal: Recoleta

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Allan Wlk — Recoleta

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Recoleta
90-minute result: Recoleta
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 112 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 105 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 7 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 71% (Strong)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
72 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
46 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
68 predictions
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
41 predictions
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
16 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
5 predictions

Match overview