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South America · Copa Sudamericana · Copa Sudamericana Grp. B

27 May 2026 22:00 UTC

ATLETICO MG vs ACADEMIA PUERTO CABELLO

Final 1:0

Atletico MG won Last goal: Atletico MG

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Bernard — Atletico MG

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Atletico MG
No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 55 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 112 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 109 completed matches.

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 15 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 29% (Weak)
34 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
50 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
72 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
65 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
92 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
103 predictions

Match overview