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Armenia · Premier League

27 May 2026 15:00 UTC

ARARAT ARMENIA vs GANDZASAR

Final 1:0

Ararat Armenia won Last goal: Ararat Armenia

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Zhirayr Shaghoyan — Ararat Armenia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Ararat Armenia
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 130 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 127 completed matches.

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 27% (Weak)
37 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
74 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
93 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
64 predictions
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
35 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
111 predictions

Match overview